Goodness me, Britain has had an interesting few weeks after voting to
leave the EU!
I was devastated about the outcome of the referendum, not just because
my wife is Polish, but because to me it seems to be a gigantic step backward. At
a time when there are huge problems with extremism and wealth distribution, I
truly believe that we should be working together rather than putting up
barriers.
I admit that I was a little simplistic in my views of the Leave
campaign, regarding it as a movement motivated by irrational racism and
xenophobia. The truth is more complicated than that, and people voted to leave
for many reasons: fear of extremists, objection to immigrants being given
preferential treatment over British peoples, austerity measures imposed by the
current government which left many people with the feeling that they had
nothing more to lose by voting to leave, the desire to stick two fingers up to politicians,
a simple extension of the sense that the British have never really felt
European. As one lady interviewed by the Adrian Chiles on the BBC put it: all
of these reasons were like separate rivers of water which flowed in the same
direction and pooled together. This was how the Leave campaign overwhelmed the
Remain camp.
My wife and I were in Poland last week (we had joked about her not being
allowed in the country but we’re not laughing now) and there was nothing in the
news except Brexit. Well, that and Euro 2016. I don’t think people who voted to
Leave really understood the effect it would have: it was as a big an event in
the rest of Europe as it was for Britain.
And what consequences have we seen to date? Far-right groups across the
EU are clamouring for referendums in their own country, in the UK there has
been a sharp rise in hate-crime against Eastern Europeans and non-whites, and
the British pound is plunging. Then, of course, there has been the rather
incredible political turmoil within the Conservative party: David Cameron
resigning, Michael Gove stabbing Boris Johnson in the back by entering the Conservative
leadership contest, Johnson conducting an astonishing U-turn by ruling himself
out of the contest, Gove being eliminated from the contest after being well and
truly branded as a serial back-stabber (which he is, having turned on Cameron
and Johnson, both friends of his). The likely new Prime Minister will be
Theresa May.
It’s incredibly difficult to know what the future will hold. The UK is
certain to be torn apart: Scotland will
get another referendum and will
leave. Wales might follow. The Bank of England interest rate might fall
slightly, but it’s already at 0.5% so it can’t fall too much farther. Economic
turbulence will be long-term and unpredictable. The UK, or what’s left of it, will just have
to make the best of things, which won’t be easy, because the EU is genuinely
furious with us.
All of this has really made me think about the important things. I
have a house over my head, a good job, a loving wife and immediate family, two
adorable cats, and lots of books. Will Brexit really affect any of these
things? No, probably not. That doesn’t mean Brexit isn’t important, just that
we need to keep things in perspective. In particular, my grandfather is very
ill at the moment and in all likelihood he will die soon. At the moment this is
all that matters to me: making sure I see as much of him as possible. I’ll make
the most of what I can, and isn’t that what we all have to do?
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